Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/5/2024

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Denver Nuggets vs Orlando Magic · Jan 5, 2024

Updated Jan 6, 2024 1:54 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 27.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 26.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 27.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 22.0 shots from the field per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 4.1 higher than he's attempted overall this season on the road.
Paolo Banchero has averaged 34.7 minutes per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 92nd percentile -- some of the highest playing time of any player in the NBA.
With respect to scoring, the Magic's impressive 120.2 points per game while playing on the road measures as the 8th-strongest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Paolo Banchero has converted 7.4 foul shots per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.6 higher than he's put through the net overall this season without the home court advantage.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has been called for 0.1 technical fouls per game while on the road this year, putting him in the 75th percentile -- among the NBA's most-whistled when it comes to technicals.
The matchup vs. the Nuggets is a hard one for shot attempts from downtown; the other team's starting PFs have totaled the 12th-least three attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.7).
The 9th-most lethargic pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Orlando Magic.
The Orlando Magic will likely experience a decrease in possessions in this game from facing the slowest pace team in the league over the last 10 games (the Nuggets).
Offensive rebounds maintain possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, but the Magic grade out 8thworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 9.8 offensive boards per game this year.

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