Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 10:40 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-146/+114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -146.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 22.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 6.0 higher than he's attempted overall this season.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.0 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 88th percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.6 minutes per game this year.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on 3-pointers (29th-best in the NBA) against the Miami Heat, marking this as a favorable matchup.
The 10th-most up-tempo pace-of-play home offense in the league this year has been the Orlando Magic.

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic have been the least aggressive offense in the league at home this year when it comes to shot attempts from beyond the arc.
The Miami Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo tempo in the league away from their home court this year, which should reduce possessions for the Magic.
The matchup vs. the Miami Heat may be a tough one for getting to the free-throw line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted just 1.8 foul shots per game over the last 10 games (13th-least in the league).

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