Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 12/1/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Washington Wizards · Dec 1, 2023

Updated Dec 2, 2023 12:12 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 22.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 22.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Compared to last year's 6.3 clip, Paolo Banchero's field goals converted have risen this year to 7.6 per game.
In contrast to last season's 27.3% rate, Paolo Banchero's 3-point ability has increased this season to 36.9%.
Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero rates in the 84th percentile for playing time, registering a colossal 32.7 minutes per game this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 4th-fastest tempo in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Orlando Magic will likely see a spike in opportunities in this game from being pitted against the quickest pace away team in the league this year (the Wizards).

Favors Under

The Orlando Magic rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the league as the visting team this year when it comes to three-point attempts.
This year when they are the visiting team, the opposition's starting PFs have totaled 1.1 3-pointers per game (12th-fewest in the league) vs. the Wizards, identifying this as a tough matchup.
The Washington Wizards have given up the 2nd-most offensive boards per game (13.4) in the league to their opposition this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero has attempted a lowly 4.8 free throws per game this season, quite a bit less than his 7.8 mark last season.

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