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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 11/6/2023

Orlando Magic vs Dallas Mavericks

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has posted 19.5 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 82nd percentile.

Out of all players in the league, Paolo Banchero ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, registering a massive 33.0 minutes per game on his home court since the start of last season.

The matchup against the Mavericks is a challenging one for shots from the field; opposing teams have tallied the 5th-least FG attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (86.6).

The matchup against Dallas is a strong one for 3-pointers; when the Mavericks are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have posted the 27th-highest three rate in the league since the start of last season (40.2%).

The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a spike in opportunities today from being pitted against the 8th-speediest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA this year (the Dallas Mavericks).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Orlando Magic rank as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA playing at home since the start of last season.

While playing away from home, the Dallas Mavericks have allowed the 4th-most offensive rebounds per game (12.2) in the NBA to opposing squads over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Since the start of last season, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.7 free throws per game (14th-lowest in the league) vs. the Mavericks, facing an uphill battle to get to the foul line.

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