Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 3/9/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Utah Jazz · Mar 9, 2023

Updated Mar 10, 2023 12:11 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 21.5 @ -106 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 20.0 points per game since the start of last season, placing him among the best players in the NBA in this category: 92nd percentile.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a favorable one for attempts from beyond the arc; opposing starting PFs have totaled the 30th-most three attempts per game in the NBA this year (4.8).
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Jazz have allowed the least offensive rebounds per game (5.8) in the NBA to the other team over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has successfully made 23.7% of his attempts from downtown since the start of last season, ranking him in the 15th percentile among all players in the league.
The Jazz have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to decreased plays for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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