Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 2/9/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Denver Nuggets · Feb 9, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -102 before it was bet down to 19.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 18.2 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 2.6 more than he's attempted overall this season.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 32.9 minutes per game at home this year, ranking him in the 88th percentile -- putting him among the most-utilized players in the league.
The matchup against Aaron Gordon is a difficult one; he has given up a mere 14.1 points per game away from his home court when guarding fellow starting PFs this year (77th percentile).
The Nuggets have played at the 4th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to increased opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has sunk 26.1% of his three-point shots this year, ranking him in the 24th percentile out of all players in the league.
The Orlando Magic rank as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-most sluggish pace in the NBA over the last 5 games while on their home court.

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