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Paolo Banchero

Paolo Banchero Points
Player Prop - 2/3/2023

Minnesota Timberwolves vs Orlando Magic

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-105).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Paolo Banchero has averaged 20.5 points per game this year, putting him in the company of the best players in the league by this metric: 89th percentile.

Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.2 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the NBA: 89th percentile.

This matchup is a strong one for field goals; opposing squads have shot for the 2nd-highest field goal percentage in the league over the last 5 games (43.8%).

The Orlando Magic have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage.

The Timberwolves have played at the 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league in their home stadium this year, which ought to boost opportunities for the Magic.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Paolo Banchero has shot and missed 4.2 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's missed from 3-point range overall this year.

The matchup vs. Minnesota is a tough one for field goal attempts; when the Timberwolves are playing at home, opposing starting PFs have averaged the 8th-least field goal attempts per game in the league this year (11.0).

The Orlando Magic have been the 5th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

The Timberwolves have given up the 3rd-least offensive rebounds per game (11.7) in the league to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

This matchup is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; opposing clubs have attempted just 26.4 foul shots per game when the Timberwolves are playing at home this year (least in the league).

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