Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 20.8 points per game this year, ranking him among the best players in the NBA by this metric: 89th percentile.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 15.3 shots per game this year, ranking in the 88th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 7.8 foul shots per game this year, ranking him in the 97th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 25 games (38.4%).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.
The matchup vs. the Heat is a difficult one for attempts from beyond the arc; the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 2nd-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA over the last 5 games (3.0).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for getting to the foul line; the other team's starting PFs have attempted a lowly 2.9 free throws per game this year (2nd-least in the NBA).

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