Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 1/13/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Utah Jazz vs Orlando Magic · Jan 13, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-125/-103).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 6.6 three-point shots per game over the last 5 games, 2.3 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.
Paolo Banchero has successfully made 2.2 shots from behind the three-point arc per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's converted from 3-point range over the course of the season.
Paolo Banchero has attempted 7.3 foul shots per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 96th percentile among all players in the league.
Paolo Banchero has been on the court for 33.7 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 91st percentile.
The Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA with the home court advantage this year, which ought to increase opportunities for the Jazz.

Favors Under

The Jazz have given up the 6th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.2) in the NBA to their opposition this year (which will also lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
The matchup vs. the Jazz is a tough one for getting to the foul line; the other team have attempted just 26.8 foul shots per game when playing at home this year (least in the league).
The Orlando Magic have been the lowest scoring offense in the NBA when playing away from home this year.
The matchup against the Jazz is a challenging one; they have given up the 5th-least points per game in the league to the opposition's starting PFs this year (13.6).
Paolo Banchero will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this contest. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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