Paolo Banchero Points - Player Prop Bet 12/27/2022

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Points

Orlando Magic vs Los Angeles Lakers · Dec 27, 2022

Updated Dec 27, 2022 6:57 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Points Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-115/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 20.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has attempted 5.4 treys per game over the last 5 games, 1.4 more than he's attempted over the course of the season.
Paolo Banchero has successfully made 2.8 3-pointers per game over the last 5 games, 1.5 higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
Paolo Banchero has played 34.0 minutes per game this year, putting him among the most-utilized players in the NBA: 93rd percentile.
The matchup against the Lakers is a favorable one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a monstrous 21.3 foul shots per game this year (most in the league).
The matchup against LeBron James is a good one for 3-point shots; when defending fellow starting SFs this year, they have converted a whopping 38.6% of their 3-point shots (19th percentile).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has committed 0.2 technical fouls per game over the last 5 games while at home, 0.1 more than he's committed in all games this season at home.
While on the road, the Lakers have allowed the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (11.5) in the league to opposing clubs this year (which can also lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).
As a team, the Orlando Magic have been poor at getting to the free throw line: 6th-worst in the NBA since the start of last season with a lowly 21.2 foul shot attempts per game.

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