Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 1/27/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Orlando Magic · Jan 27, 2023

Updated Apr 7, 2023 2:41 PM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+125/-155).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ -150 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has averaged 33.3 minutes per game this year, ranking among the most used players in the league: 89th percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 10th-quickest pace in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The Heat have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (8.7) in the league to their opposition this year (which can also create added chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has attempted and missed 2.8 3-point attempts per game away from home this year, putting him among the worst players in the league by this standard: 75th percentile for misses on the road.
Paolo Banchero has averaged 2.4 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the league (76th percentile).
The matchup vs. the Heat is a hard one for 3-pointers; opposing clubs have compiled the 4th-lowest 3-point rate in the NBA over the last 25 games (38.4%).
The Orlando Magic check in as the 3rd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 10 games (which also eliminates additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Magic have played at the 2nd-slowest pace in the NBA over the last 10 games with the home court advantage, which should lead to decreased opportunities for the Heat.

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