Paolo Banchero Assists - Player Prop Bet 3/11/2023

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Paolo Banchero

NBA · Player Props

Paolo Banchero

F · Orlando Magic

Assists

Orlando Magic vs Miami Heat · Mar 11, 2023

Updated Mar 12, 2023 4:00 AM EST

Analysis

Paolo Banchero Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (+130/-165).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -165.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Paolo Banchero has posted 3.6 assists per game since the start of last season, ranking him among the best players in the league in this category: 83rd percentile.
Paolo Banchero has played 33.2 minutes per game since the start of last season, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 91st percentile.
The Orlando Magic have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.
While playing on the road, the Heat have given up the least offensive rebounds per game (8.5) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate extra opportunities for scoring and assists).
Paolo Banchero will receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing with the home court advantage generally increases player production in all stat categories.

Favors Under

Paolo Banchero has tallied 2.3 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (76th percentile).
The Heat have played at the least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA this year, which should reduce opportunities for the Magic.
The Orlando Magic have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

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