Onyeka Okongwu Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 11/9/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Rebounds

Orlando Magic vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 9, 2023

Updated Nov 10, 2023 3:18 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+110/-140).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -140 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 3.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season on the road.
The 5th-most up-tempo pace home team in the league this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Hawks are expected to see a rise in opportunities in this game from squaring off against the 7th-fastest pace-of-play road team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Orlando Magic).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks grade out 6thbest in in the NBA with 11.6 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing squads have collected 8.9 offensive boards per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic (diminishing possessions that could otherwise generate extra opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu slots into the 95th percentile for personal fouls, compiling a massive 3.1 fouls per game when playing on the road since the start of last season.
Onyeka Okongwu will not enjoy the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage usually lowers stat production in all facets of the game.

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