Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 2/3/2024

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Golden State Warriors · Feb 3, 2024

Updated Feb 4, 2024 12:48 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-135).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has made 66.7% of his 3-point shots over the last 5 games at home, 43.9% more than he's converted in all games this season with the home court advantage.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play home offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Hawks.
The Golden State Warriors have played at the 7th-speediest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to more possessions for the Atlanta Hawks.
Offensive rebounds preserve possession and spark additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.0 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are playing at home, opposing squads have secured 9.8 offensive rebounds per game (6th-fewest in the NBA) against the Warriors (shortening possessions that could otherwise create further opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Out of all players in the NBA, Onyeka Okongwu lands in the 91st percentile for personal fouls, logging a massive 2.8 fouls per game with the home court advantage this year.
The Atlanta Hawks have been the 3rd-least efficient 3-point shooting team in the NBA over the last 20 games.
The matchup vs. the Golden State Warriors is a positive one; they have given up the 3rd-most points per game in the NBA to their opposition over the last 10 games (124.9).
This matchup is a good one for getting to the charity stripe; when the Warriors are away from home, the other team has attempted a colossal 28.2 foul shots per game this year (most in the NBA).

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