Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Houston Rockets vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 1:09 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-105/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 58.5% of his field goal attempts this year, placing him in the 91st percentile out of all players in the NBA.
The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 2nd-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 15 games away from their home court.
Offensive rebounds save possession and produce added opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 15thbest in in the NBA while playing on the road with 14.0 offensive boards per game this year.
Over the last 5 games when they are away from home, their opposition has come down with 8.6 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Rockets (turning over possessions that could otherwise spark added chances for offense).
Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 13.6% more than he's made in all games this season.

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has averaged 2.8 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most most-whistled players in the NBA (88th percentile).
The Hawks have been the 6th-least efficient shooting team in the NBA over the last 10 games.
The Houston Rockets have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should decrease possessions for the Hawks.
Over the last 20 games, opposing teams have attempted 26.5 free throws per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) against the Rockets, making it fairly effortless to get to the free-throw line.
Onyeka Okongwu will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing while traveling tends to worsen player production in all stat categories.

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