Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 12/13/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Atlanta Hawks · Dec 13, 2023

Updated Dec 14, 2023 12:35 AM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+104/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

In comparison to last season's 64.6% mark, Onyeka Okongwu's field goal effectiveness has risen this season to 62.1%.
The 3rd-quickest pace-of-play team in the NBA this year has been the Atlanta Hawks.
The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting team, the other team has grabbed 10.1 offensive boards per game (7th-lowest in the league) vs. the Raptors (lessening possessions that could otherwise lead to added chances for offense).
This matchup is a difficult one for getting to the foul line; opposing squads have attempted a measly 20.5 foul shots per game when the Toronto Raptors are away from home this year (6th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has converted a lowly 17.9% of his 3-pointers this year, a sizeable decrease from his 34.6 mark last year.
Onyeka Okongwu has committed 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 higher than he's committed overall this season.
When it comes to offense, the Hawks's lackluster 45.0% field goal percentage comes in as the 6th-lowest in the league this year.
This matchup is a favorable one for 3-point shots; when the Raptors are on the road, opposing clubs have put up the 4th-highest three rate in the NBA against them this year (38.1%).
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most sluggish tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games, which ought to lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.

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