Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 11/22/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

Atlanta Hawks vs Brooklyn Nets · Nov 22, 2023

Updated Nov 22, 2023 7:54 PM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (+108/-132).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ +110 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ +108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Hawks have played at the 3rd-speediest pace in the league this year.
Offensive rebounds retain possession and generate additional opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Hawks rank 10thbest in in the league without the home court advantage with 12.4 offensive boards per game this year.
This year when they are at home, opposing teams have snagged 9.9 offensive rebounds per game (5th-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Brooklyn Nets (diminishing possessions that could otherwise bring about added opportunities for offense).
Relative to last year's 73.2% clip, Onyeka Okongwu's foul-shot proficiency has increased this year to 100.0%.
This matchup is a hard one for drawing fouls; their opposition has attempted a mere 20.8 free throws per game when the Nets are the visiting squad this year (7th-least in the NBA).

Favors Under

Relative to last season's 64.9% clip, Onyeka Okongwu's scoring effectiveness has dropped this season to 58.0%.
Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 2.7 personal fouls per game while playing on the road this year, placing him in the 82nd percentile -- among the league's most-whistled.
This year, their opposition has totaled 39.5 3-point attempts per game (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Nets, identifying this as a favorable matchup.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 9th-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Hawks.