Onyeka Okongwu Points - Player Prop Bet 11/4/2023

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Onyeka Okongwu

NBA · Player Props

Onyeka Okongwu

F-C · Atlanta Hawks

Points

New Orleans Pelicans vs Atlanta Hawks · Nov 4, 2023

Updated Nov 4, 2023 11:07 PM EST

Analysis

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 8.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Onyeka Okongwu has successfully made 65.2% of his field goals since the start of last season, putting him in the 95th percentile among all players in the league.
The 3rd-quickest tempo offense in the NBA this year has been the Hawks.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Atlanta Hawks rank 8thbest in in the NBA with 11.4 offensive boards per game since the start of last season.
The New Orleans Pelicans have given up the 9th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.9) in the league to their opposition since the start of last season (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate additional chances for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Onyeka Okongwu has attempted 0.3 shots from downtown per game while on the road since the start of last season, ranking in the 11th percentile among all players in the NBA.
Onyeka Okongwu has tallied 3.1 personal fouls per game since the start of last season, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the NBA (96th percentile).
In regard to shots from behind the three-point arc, the 6th-least aggressive offense in the league since the start of last season has been the Hawks.
Since the start of last season when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have totaled 36.3 three attempts per game (4th-most in the league) against the Pelicans, labeling this as a good matchup.
Onyeka Okongwu is expected to suffer a drop-off in production in all facets of the game due to being on the road in this game.

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