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Onyeka Okongwu

Onyeka Okongwu Points
Player Prop - 4/18/2023

Boston Celtics vs Atlanta Hawks

Onyeka Okongwu Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ +105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Onyeka Okongwu has sunk 75.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games on the road, 43.8% more than he's converted from three in all games this season on the road.

This matchup is a difficult one for three-pointers; when the Celtics are on their home court, their opposition have shot for the lowest 3-point rate in the league this year (32.3%).

The Atlanta Hawks have played at the 5th-fastest pace in the league over the last 20 games.

The Celtics have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games on their home court, which ought to lead to more opportunities for the Hawks.

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games while playing away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore lead to added opportunities for scoring and assists).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Onyeka Okongwu has been called for 3.1 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most highest-fouling players in the league (96th percentile).

The Atlanta Hawks rank as the least aggressive offense in the league this year in terms of attempts from beyond the arc.

When playing at home, the Celtics have allowed the most offensive rebounds per game (13.6) in the league to their opposition over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore create new opportunities for scoring and assists).

Onyeka Okongwu will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing without the home court advantage generally decreases player performance in all stat categories.

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