Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 4/13/2025

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NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 13, 2025

Updated Apr 13, 2025 11:55 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 14.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 14.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 14.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has made 2.8 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.2 higher than he's converted from three overall this year.
The fastest pace visiting offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Raptors.
The Toronto Raptors will likely see a rise in plays in this contest from being pitted against the 9th-fastest pace-of-play team in the league over the last 10 games (the San Antonio Spurs).
Offensive rebounds continue possession and bring about more chances for scoring and assists, and the Toronto Raptors rank best in in the league with 14.8 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.
Ochai Agbaji has successfully made 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 5 games, 30.8% higher than he's converted over the course of the year.

Favors Under

The Toronto Raptors have been the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games when playing away from home.
This year, the other team's starting SFs have averaged 36.0% on field goals (worst in the NBA) vs. the San Antonio Spurs, branding this as a difficult matchup.
Ochai Agbaji will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court generally decreases player production for all stats.