Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/19/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 19, 2024

Updated Dec 20, 2024 3:16 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-108/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ -104 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has converted a terrific 53.3% of his field goals this year, a big improvement over his 41.7 rate last year.
Ochai Agbaji has successfully made a whopping 1.7 threes per game this year, significantly higher than his 0.8 mark last year.
Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji measures in the 78th percentile for playing time, registering an enormous 30.4 minutes per game playing at home this year.
The Raptors have played at the 5th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 10 games at home.
The Brooklyn Nets have played at the 10th-most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, which should lead to more possessions for the Raptors.

Favors Under

Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 80th percentile for personal fouls, posting a massive 2.4 fouls per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors rank as the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year in regard to three-point attempts.
This year when they are at home, the other team's starting PFs have logged 11.4 points per game (fewest in the NBA) against the Brooklyn Nets, identifying this as a challenging matchup for offensive output.
This year when they have the home court advantage, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 1.9 free throws per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Nets, facing an uphill battle to get to the free-throw line.

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