Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 11/16/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Boston Celtics vs Toronto Raptors · Nov 16, 2024

Updated Nov 17, 2024 1:04 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-108/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -120.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji comes in at the 84th percentile for shooting efficiency when playing away from home with a phenomenal 55.6% rate this year.
Ochai Agbaji has attempted 5.4 threes per game over the last 5 games, 1.3 higher than he's attempted over the course of the year.
Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji slots into the 77th percentile for playing time, putting up a whopping 31.9 minutes per game this year.
The Toronto Raptors have been the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing starting PFs have attempted 3.9 free throws per game (8th-most in the league) against the Boston Celtics, finding it easy to get to the foul line.

Favors Under

Out of all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji measures in the 77th percentile for personal fouls, posting a monstrous 2.6 fouls per game while playing away from home this year.
With respect to offense, the Raptors's subpar 98.6 points per game rates weakest in the league over the last 5 games.
The matchup vs. the Celtics is a tough one; they have allowed the 2nd-least points per game in the league to the other team's starting PFs this year (14.5).
The 8th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games has been the Raptors.
The Celtics have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace in the league in their home city this year, which should decrease possessions for the Raptors.

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