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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/12/2024

Milwaukee Bucks vs Toronto Raptors

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-112/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -112.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji lands in the 89th percentile for field goal ability when playing away from home with an impressive 58.6% rate this year.

Ochai Agbaji has successfully made 57.7% of his treys over the last 5 games, 15.5% higher than he's made from beyond the arc overall this season.

Among all players in the NBA, Ochai Agbaji rates in the 75th percentile for playing time, averaging a monstrous 31.3 minutes per game this year.

This year, the other team's starting PFs have totaled 1.8 threes per game (7th-highest in the league) against the Bucks, resulting in a strong matchup.

The Raptors have played at the 10th-fastest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Ochai Agbaji has been called for 2.5 personal fouls per game while playing away from home this year, placing him in the 78th percentile -- among the NBA's most foul-prone.

The Raptors check in as the 3rd-least aggressive offense in the NBA this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Raptors will likely suffer a drop-off in plays today from competing against the 5th-most lethargic pace-of-play team in the league over the last 5 games (the Milwaukee Bucks).

Over the last 25 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 2.6 foul shots per game (lowest in the NBA) against the Bucks, making it tough to get to the charity stripe.

Ochai Agbaji figures to suffer a drop-off in productivity in all facets of the game in light of playing away from home in this contest.

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