Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 4/10/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Points

Brooklyn Nets vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 10, 2024

Updated Apr 10, 2024 11:16 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-125/-105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has played 30.6 minutes per game over the last 5 games on the road, 10.1 more than he's played overall this year on the road.
When it comes to shooting, the Toronto Raptors's fantastic 116.0 points per game as the away team settles in as the 7th-most in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The matchup vs. the Nets is a strong one; they have given up the most points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting SFs this year (19.5).
The Raptors have played at the most up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The matchup against the Nets is a favorable one for getting to the free-throw line; opposing starting SFs have attempted a massive 3.9 foul shots per game this year (3rd-most in the NBA).

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has converted 16.7% of his shots from behind the three-point arc over the last 5 games, 13.2% lower than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
Ochai Agbaji has averaged 2.6 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games while on the road, 1.2 more than he's averaged overall this season on the road.
The Toronto Raptors are expected to experience a decrease in plays today from squaring off against the 5th-slowest pace home offense in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Nets).
The Toronto Raptors check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 25 games while on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce extra chances for scoring and assists).
Ochai Agbaji has successfully made a mere 62.9% of his free throw attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 75.7 mark last year.

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