Ochai Agbaji Points - Player Prop Bet 12/18/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Points

Utah Jazz vs Brooklyn Nets · Dec 18, 2023

Updated Dec 19, 2023 1:54 AM UTC

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-132).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has sunk 45.7% of his 3-point attempts over the last 15 games, 8.8% higher than he's made from 3-point range over the course of the year.
The matchup vs. the Brooklyn Nets is a challenging one for field goals; the other team has compiled the 7th-lowest Field Goal% in the league this year (45.6%).
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and produce additional chances for scoring and assists, and the Jazz rank 1stbest in in the league with 13.7 offensive boards per game this year.
Ochai Agbaji has made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 10 games, 33.3% higher than he's made overall this year.
The matchup against the Nets is a hard one for getting to the charity stripe; their opposition has attempted just 20.7 free throws per game this year (5th-least in the league).

Favors Under

As it relates to scoring, the Jazz's subpar 107.6 points per game measures as the 3rd-lowest in the league over the last 10 games.
The Nets have played at the 5th-least up-tempo tempo in the league over the last 15 games, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Jazz.
While playing away from home, the Nets have given up the 5th-most offensive boards per game (12.6) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).

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