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Ochai Agbaji

Ochai Agbaji Points
Player Prop - 11/19/2023

Utah Jazz vs Phoenix Suns

 
 
 
Ochai Agbaji Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 8.5 @ +100.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Ochai Agbaji has been called for 1.4 personal fouls per game on the road this year, ranking in the 22nd percentile -- among the league's least foul-prone.
  • The matchup vs. the Phoenix Suns is a strong one for shot attempts from the field; the other team's starting SFs have totaled the 26th-most shot attempts per game in the NBA since the start of last season (12.6).
  • The Utah Jazz have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
  • The Jazz check in as the best offensive rebounding offense in the league when playing at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added chances for scoring and assists).
  • Since the start of last season when they are on the road, the opposing team's starting SFs have attempted 3.5 free throws per game (25th-highest in the league) vs. the Phoenix Suns, finding it easy to get to the free-throw line.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Ochai Agbaji has attempted a mere 2.6 treys per game this year, significantly less than his 3.9 rate last year.
  • Among all players in the league, Ochai Agbaji slots into the 19th percentile for playing time, compiling only 17.3 minutes per game away from his home court this year.
  • The Utah Jazz are expected to suffer a drop-off in plays today from facing the 3rd-slowest tempo team in the league over the last 5 games (the Phoenix Suns).
  • Over the last 6 games when they are at home, the other team has brought down 11.7 offensive boards per game (9th-highest in the league) against the Phoenix Suns (continuing possessions that can bring about bonus chances for offense).
  • Ochai Agbaji has sunk just 33.3% of his free throw attempts this year, a significant dropoff from his 75.7 rate last year.

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