Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots - Player Prop Bet 4/14/2024

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Toronto Raptors

Made 3 Point Shots

Miami Heat vs Toronto Raptors · Apr 14, 2024

Updated Apr 14, 2024 5:17 PM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-245/+185).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has averaged 31.4 minutes per game over the last 5 games away from home, 10.6 higher than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
This year when they are the visiting squad, the other team's starting PFs have shot 46.4% on 3-pointers (best in the NBA) against the Heat, marking this as a good matchup.
The 3rd-most up-tempo pace-of-play team in the NBA over the last 25 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and result in more opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Raptors grade out 8th-best in in the NBA with 11.0 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has attempted a measly 2.7 3-point shots per game this year, quite a bit lower than his 3.9 mark last year.
Ochai Agbaji has tallied 2.4 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games, 0.9 more than he's tallied in all games this season.
When it comes to 3-point attempts, the 2nd-least aggressive offense in the NBA over the last 10 games has been the Toronto Raptors.
The Heat have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the league this year, which should lead to fewer opportunities for the Toronto Raptors.
Ochai Agbaji will not have the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling usually reduces stat production for all stats.

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