Ochai Agbaji Assists - Player Prop Bet 11/8/2023

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Ochai Agbaji

NBA · Player Props

Ochai Agbaji

G · Utah Jazz

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Utah Jazz · Nov 8, 2023

Updated Nov 9, 2023 12:03 AM EST

Analysis

Ochai Agbaji Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 1.5 @ +135 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -108.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Ochai Agbaji has been called for a mere 0.8 personal fouls per game this season, a significant dropoff from his 1.7 fouls per game last season.
The {OPP_TEAM} are expected to see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 4th-quickest pace offense in the league this year (the Indiana Pacers).
The Jazz check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore provide additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Ochai Agbaji has averaged a measly 12.8 minutes per game this season, quite a bit lower than his 20.0 minutes per game last season.
The Utah Jazz have played at the 4th-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the league this year.
Since the start of last season when they are playing at home, the other team has brought down 12.0 offensive rebounds per game (2nd-most in the league) vs. the Indiana Pacers (maintaining possessions that can bring about added opportunities for offense).
Ochai Agbaji will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing while traveling generally lowers player production in all stat categories.

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