Obi Toppin Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Rebounds

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 22, 2023 1:04 AM UTC

Analysis

Obi Toppin Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-152/+114).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ +118 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ +114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has put up 1.4 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games, 0.4 higher than he's put up overall this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin rates in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The Pacers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.

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