Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/10/2026

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 10, 2026

Updated Mar 11, 2026 1:40 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-118/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Indiana Pacers have been the 7th-most aggressive offense in the league over the last 10 games when it comes to shot attempts from downtown.
This year, the opposition's starting PFs have averaged 52.6% on field goals (6th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Kings, identifying this as a strong matchup.
The speediest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 10 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from being pitted against the 6th-quickest tempo home team in the league over the last 10 games (the Sacramento Kings).

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds continue possession and result in additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Indiana Pacers grade out 1stworst in in the league while on the road with just 8.0 offensive rebounds per game over the last 10 games.
Over the last 20 games, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.4 foul shots per game (fewest in the league) against the Kings, making it tough to get to the foul line.

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