Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/27/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 27, 2025

Updated Apr 28, 2025 3:56 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 8.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 6.5 @ -135 before it was bet up to 8.5 @ -115.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin ranks in the 81st percentile for scoring performance without the home court advantage with a superb 51.4% rate this year.
The Pacers have been the highest scoring offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road.
The Pacers have played at the 3rd-speediest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games as the away team.
The Bucks have played at the 8th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA at home this year, which should increase opportunities for the Pacers.

Favors Under

Offensive rebounds retain possession and lead to additional opportunities for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the league with a mere 9.1 offensive boards per game this year.
Obi Toppin has converted 58.3% of his foul shot attempts over the last 5 games, 17.3% less than he's made over the course of the season.
Obi Toppin will not receive the benefit of the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home court tends to reduce stat production in all stat categories.

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