Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/11/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Orlando Magic · Apr 11, 2025

Updated Apr 12, 2025 2:29 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 8.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 15.5 @ -114.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 53.3% of his shots from the field at home this year, putting him in the 82nd percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Obi Toppin has successfully made 2.5 three-point shots per game over the last 15 games, 1.1 more than he's converted from downtown in all games this year.
When it comes to shooting, the Indiana Pacers's terrific 122.4 points per game rates 3rd-best in the league over the last 10 games.
The 7th-speediest tempo offense in the league over the last 15 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Obi Toppin should see an increase in effectiveness for all stats due to holding the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The matchup vs. Orlando is a difficult one; when the Orlando Magic are the visiting squad, they have given up the least points per game in the NBA to the opposing team's starting PFs over the last 10 games (15.1).
The Magic have played at the least up-tempo pace in the league away from their home city this year, which should reduce plays for the Pacers.
The Indiana Pacers rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games playing at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate extra chances for scoring and assists).
Over the last 10 games when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 2.8 foul shots per game (3rd-fewest in the NBA) against the Orlando Magic, making it tough to draw fouls.

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