Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/31/2025

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Sacramento Kings · Mar 31, 2025

Updated Apr 1, 2025 2:34 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (+100/-128).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 10.5 @ -118 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ +100.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has converted 61.0% of his field goal attempts over the last 5 games, 8.1% more than he's converted overall this year.
Obi Toppin has successfully made 2.4 3-point shots per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.1 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc overall this season playing at home.
When it comes to offense, the Pacers's fantastic 123.8 points per game settles in as the 4th-highest in the NBA over the last 5 games.
The 6th-speediest pace-of-play home team in the league over the last 25 games has been the Pacers.
Obi Toppin will enjoy the benefit of the home court advantage in this game. Playing with the home court advantage tends to raise stat production in all facets of the game.

Favors Under

The Sacramento Kings have played at the 3rd-least up-tempo pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games, which should lead to decreased plays for the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games while at home (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

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