Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/8/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 8, 2024

Updated Dec 8, 2024 5:18 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (-104/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has sunk 54.9% of his field goal attempts while at home this year, ranking him in the 82nd percentile among all players in the league.
The Pacers check in as the 5th-highest scoring offense in the NBA over the last 10 games when playing at home.
The Pacers have played at the 4th-fastest pace in the NBA over the last 5 games.
Obi Toppin has sunk 1.8 free throws per game over the last 5 games, 0.8 more than he's made over the course of the season.
Obi Toppin should see an increase in effectiveness in all stat categories considering controlling the home court advantage in this matchup.

Favors Under

The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic tempo in the league over the last 10 games, which ought to lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers.
Offensive rebounds save possession and generate additional chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers rank 2ndworst in in the NBA with only 6.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.