Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/3/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Toronto Raptors vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 3, 2024

Updated Dec 4, 2024 1:35 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 50.0% of his three-point shots over the last 5 games, 21.0% higher than he's converted from downtown overall this season.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 9th-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 20 games.
The 2nd-speediest pace-of-play visiting team in the NBA over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Toronto Raptors have played at the 8th-quickest pace in the NBA in their home city this year, which should lead to increased possessions for the Pacers.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers have been the 2nd-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing on the road this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has converted 50.0% of his free throws when playing on the road this year, placing him in the 13th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road tends to lower player performance in all stat categories.

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