Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/29/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Indiana Pacers vs Detroit Pistons · Nov 29, 2024

Updated Nov 30, 2024 3:30 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-129/-106).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has successfully made 49.6% of his 3-point attempts while playing at home this year, ranking him in the 89th percentile out of all players in the NBA.
Obi Toppin has accumulated 1.1 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the least foul-prone players in the league (18th percentile).
The Pacers have been the 3rd-highest scoring offense in the league on their home court this year.
The 7th-quickest pace-of-play offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
Obi Toppin has converted 100.0% of his foul shots over the last 10 games, 16.1% more than he's sunk over the course of the year.

Favors Under

This matchup is a good one for field goals; opposing squads have put up the 27th-highest field goal rate in the NBA over the last 20 games (45.6%).
The Indiana Pacers will likely suffer a reduction in possessions in this contest from squaring off against the 2nd-slowest pace team in the league over the last 5 games (the Detroit Pistons).
The Indiana Pacers have been the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 15 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore eliminate additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

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