Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 11/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Houston Rockets vs Indiana Pacers · Nov 20, 2024

Updated Nov 20, 2024 8:17 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 9.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 9.5 @ -125 before it was bet down to 9.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Out of all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin rates in the 82nd percentile for shooting performance while playing on the road with an excellent 53.0% rate this year.
In terms of scoring, the Indiana Pacers's exceptional 48.6% field goal rate settles in as the 4th-best in the NBA this year.
The 10th-most up-tempo tempo away offense in the league over the last 5 games has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most up-tempo tempo team in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Houston Rockets).
Obi Toppin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 16.1% more than he's put through the net over the course of the season.

Favors Under

The Indiana Pacers check in as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 5 games when playing on the road (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin will not have the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing on the road usually worsens stat production across the board.