Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 4/23/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Milwaukee Bucks vs Indiana Pacers · Apr 23, 2024

Updated Apr 23, 2024 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+105/-140).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -140.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has made 64.2% of his field goal attempts over the last 10 games, 8.4% higher than he's made over the course of the season.
The Pacers have played at the 2nd-fastest pace in the NBA this year.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 4th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games away from home (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide new chances for scoring and assists).
Obi Toppin has successfully made 100.0% of his free throw attempts over the last 5 games, 20.7% more than he's made over the course of the year.

Favors Under

With respect to shots from downtown, the Indiana Pacers's poor 28.4% rate of drained threes when playing away from home places worst in the league over the last 5 games.
The Pacers are expected to suffer a reduction in plays today from squaring off against the 4th-most sluggish pace home team in the league over the last 5 games (the Bucks).
Obi Toppin figures to experience a decrease in output for all stats considering playing on the visting team in this matchup.