Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 3/3/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

San Antonio Spurs vs Indiana Pacers · Mar 3, 2024

Updated Mar 4, 2024 12:17 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has successfully made 54.4% of his shot attempts from the field this year, placing him in the 85th percentile out of all players in the league.
Obi Toppin has made 52.3% of his 3-pointers over the last 10 games, 13.9% more than he's converted in all games this season.
Relative to last year's 15.7 mark, Obi Toppin's playing time has spiked this year to 22.3 minutes per game.
The 2nd-fastest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Indiana Pacers.
The Pacers are expected to see a rise in possessions today from competing against the 3rd-fastest pace team in the NBA this year (the San Antonio Spurs).

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has accumulated 0.1 technical fouls per game this year, placing him among the highest-fouling players in the league when it comes to technicals (78th percentile).
This year when they are on the road, opposing squads have averaged 45.3 field goals per game (3rd-most in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, designating this as a favorable matchup.
As a team, the Pacers have been quite unsuccesful at getting to the charity stripe of late: 3rd-worst in the league over the last 20 games on the road, averaging just 20.2 free throws per game.
This year when they are the visiting squad, opposing teams have attempted 23.1 foul shots per game (9th-most in the league) against the San Antonio Spurs, succeeding in their efforts to draw fouls.
Obi Toppin will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court generally lowers player production in all facets of the game.

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