Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 1/18/2024

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Sacramento Kings vs Indiana Pacers · Jan 18, 2024

Updated Jan 19, 2024 2:57 AM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Obi Toppin has converted 75.0% of his 3-pointers over the last 5 games, 36.0% more than he's sunk in all games this year.
The Pacers rank as the highest scoring offense in the league this year.
The fastest pace-of-play visiting offense in the NBA over the last 20 games has been the Pacers.
The Sacramento Kings have played at the 6th-speediest pace-of-play in the league over the last 20 games in their home city, which should increase opportunities for the Indiana Pacers.
This year, their opposition has grabbed 9.4 offensive rebounds per game (lowest in the league) vs. the Sacramento Kings (lessening possessions that could otherwise bring about bonus opportunities for offense).

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has tallied 2.2 personal fouls per game this year, placing him among the most-whistled players in the league (75th percentile).
Over the last 20 games when they are on the road, the other team has scored 121.4 points per game (highest in the NBA) against the Kings, resulting in a good matchup for offensive effectiveness.
Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and bring about extra chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 8thworst in in the league with a mere 10.2 offensive boards per game this year.
Obi Toppin should see a decline in productivity in all stat categories due to playing away from home in this game.

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