Obi Toppin Points - Player Prop Bet 12/21/2023

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NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Points

Memphis Grizzlies vs Indiana Pacers · Dec 21, 2023

Updated Dec 21, 2023 8:18 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Points Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (-105/-125).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Among all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin places in the 92nd percentile for field goal proficiency with a a terrific 59.5% rate this year.
The Indiana Pacers have played at the most up-tempo tempo in the NBA over the last 25 games.
The Indiana Pacers check in as the 5th-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore provide additional chances for scoring and assists).
On their home court, the Memphis Grizzlies have given up the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.5) in the NBA to opposing squads this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).
This year, the opposing team's starting PFs have attempted 4.6 free throws per game (26th-highest in the league) vs. the Memphis Grizzlies, finding it easy to draw fouls.

Favors Under

Among all players in the league, Obi Toppin rates in the 77th percentile for technical fouls, compiling a colossal 0.1 fouls per game this year.
The matchup against Memphis is a difficult one for shot attempts from downtown; when the Memphis Grizzlies have the home court advantage, the other team's starting PFs have tallied the 14th-least 3-point attempts per game in the NBA this year (3.0).
The Pacers will likely see a decline in plays today from sharing the court with the 3rd-most lethargic tempo home team in the NBA over the last 10 games (the Memphis Grizzlies).
Among all players in the NBA, Obi Toppin comes in at the 22nd percentile for foul-shot proficiency away from his home court with a a poor 65.2% rate this year.
Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this contest. Playing while traveling generally decreases player performance in all facets of the game.