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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/15/2023

Washington Wizards vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-169).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +144 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has made 2.0 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 0.7 higher than he's converted from beyond the arc over the course of the season.

The Indiana Pacers have been the 6th-most aggressive offense in the league this year when it comes to shots from behind the three-point arc.

The Pacers have played at the fastest tempo in the NBA this year.

The Pacers are expected to get a boost in plays today from being pitted against the 2nd-quickest pace-of-play home offense in the league this year (the Wizards).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In contrast to last year's 1.0 mark, Obi Toppin's personal fouls per game have surged this year to 3.0.

The matchup against Washington is a difficult one for three-point shots; when the Wizards are the visiting team, the other team's starting PFs have posted the 10th-lowest three rate in the NBA this year (29.4%).

Offensive rebounds retain possession and produce further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 6thworst in in the NBA while on their home court with a mere 9.9 offensive boards per game this year.

This year when they have the home court advantage, opposing squads have secured 13.0 offensive boards per game (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Wizards (preserving possessions that can generate bonus chances for offense).

Obi Toppin should suffer a reduction in effectiveness in all stat categories due to being on the road in this game.

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