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Obi Toppin

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots
Player Prop - 12/2/2023

Miami Heat vs Indiana Pacers

Obi Toppin Made 3 Point Shots Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-140/+110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -130 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -140.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Obi Toppin has attempted 5.4 shots from downtown per game over the last 5 games on his home court, 2.1 more than he's attempted in all games this season at home.

The Pacers rank as the 4th-highest scoring offense in the NBA this year with respect to shots from downtown.

This year when they are playing at home, the opposing team's starting PFs have totaled 2.1 three-pointers per game (25th-highest in the NBA) vs. the Miami Heat, creating a favorable matchup.

The Indiana Pacers have played at the quickest pace in the league when playing at home this year.

The Pacers are expected to see a spike in plays in this game from facing the 9th-fastest pace-of-play away offense in the NBA over the last 5 games (the Miami Heat).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Offensive rebounds lengthen possession and lead to further chances for scoring and assists, but the Pacers grade out 3rdworst in in the NBA as the away team with a mere 8.6 offensive boards per game over the last 5 games.

Obi Toppin will not hold the home court advantage in this matchup. Playing away from your home stadium usually reduces player performance for all stats.

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