Obi Toppin Assists - Player Prop Bet 12/20/2023

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Obi Toppin

NBA · Player Props

Obi Toppin

F · Indiana Pacers

Assists

Indiana Pacers vs Charlotte Hornets · Dec 20, 2023

Updated Dec 20, 2023 11:58 PM EST

Analysis

Obi Toppin Assists Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+130/-160).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The speediest pace offense in the NBA this year has been the Pacers.
Offensive rebounds continue possession and generate extra opportunities for scoring and assists, and the Pacers rank 5thbest in in the league with 12.8 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games.
Obi Toppin will likely get a boost in output in all facets of the game on account of holding the home court advantage in this contest.

Favors Under

Obi Toppin has put up 1.2 assists per game on his home court this year, ranking him in the 15th percentile -- near the bottom of the league in this category.
Obi Toppin has averaged 3.3 personal fouls per game over the last 10 games, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this year.
The Charlotte Hornets have played at the most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to fewer plays for the Indiana Pacers.
The Hornets have given up the most offensive boards per game (13.8) in the league to opposing clubs over the last 10 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession and can therefore produce additional chances for scoring and assists).

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