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Noah Clowney Points Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-105/-125).
The money has been on the Under as it opened 12.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 11.5 @ -125.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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Noah Clowney has converted 60.3% of his shots from the field over the last 12 games at home, 27.0% higher than he's converted in all games this year with the home court advantage.Noah Clowney has attempted 7.1 three-point shots per game over the last 10 games, 1.6 higher than he's attempted in all games this season.Noah Clowney has been on the court for 29.8 minutes per game over the last 10 games, 6.7 higher than he's been on the court for in all games this season.The Nets check in as the 8th-most aggressive offense in the NBA this year with respect to 3-point attempts.This year, opposing starting PFs have averaged 43.4% on three-pointers (2nd-highest in the league) vs. the Heat, designating this as a favorable matchup.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Out of all players in the league, Noah Clowney rates in the 86th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.5 fouls per game this year.The Nets have played at the 3rd-most sluggish pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 20 games.The Brooklyn Nets rank as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the league while at home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore lead to fewer opportunities for scoring and assists).Over the last 10 games, opposing starting PFs have attempted 1.8 free throws per game (2nd-lowest in the NBA) vs. the Heat, making it tough to get to the foul line.
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