Nikola Vucevic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 3/20/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Philadelphia 76ers vs Chicago Bulls · Mar 20, 2023

Updated Mar 20, 2023 8:36 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 10.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 10.5 @ -130 before it was bet down to 10.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has averaged 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games when playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's averaged in all games this year on the road.
Nikola Vucevic has tallied 32.9 minutes per game this year, some of the highest playing time of any player in the league: 89th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-quickest pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games.
While playing at home, the 76ers have given up the 7th-least offensive rebounds per game (9.4) in the NBA to opposing teams over the last 20 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has averaged 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games without the home court advantage, 1.0 more than he's averaged in all games this season on the road.
The 76ers have played at the 2nd-least up-tempo pace in the NBA over the last 10 games, which should lead to decreased possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA while playing away from home this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).
Nikola Vucevic will not enjoy the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home court tends to reduces stat production in all stat categories.

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