Nikola Vucevic Rebounds - Player Prop Bet 2/28/2023

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Nikola Vucevic

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Rebounds

Toronto Raptors vs Chicago Bulls · Feb 28, 2023

Updated Feb 28, 2023 6:53 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Rebounds Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-106/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 11.5 @ +102 before it was bet up to 11.5 @ -106.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 3.2 offensive rebounds per game over the last 5 games while playing away from home, 1.2 more than he's tallied over the course of the season on the road.
Nikola Vucevic has played 32.9 minutes per game this year, seeing the court more than most players in the NBA: 89th percentile.
The Chicago Bulls have played at the 7th-most up-tempo pace-of-play in the league over the last 5 games.
When playing at home, the Raptors have allowed the 5th-least offensive rebounds per game (7.6) in the league to opposing teams over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them can therefore reduce additional opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has tallied 3.8 personal fouls per game over the last 5 games away from his home court, 1.0 more than he's tallied overall this season on the road.
The Raptors have played at the 2nd-most lethargic pace-of-play in the NBA over the last 5 games, which should lead to fewer possessions for the Bulls.
The Chicago Bulls rank as the worst offensive rebounding offense in the league without the home court advantage this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further chances for scoring and assists).
Nikola Vucevic will not possess the home court advantage in this game. Playing away from your home city tends to decreases player production across the board.

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