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Nikola Vucevic

Nikola Vucevic Points
Player Prop - 4/16/2025

Chicago Bulls vs Miami Heat

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-103/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 17.5 @ -127 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Nikola Vucevic has converted 9.4 shots made from the field per game over the last 5 games at home, 1.6 higher than he's sunk overall this year with the home court advantage.

Out of all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic ranks in the 83rd percentile for playing time, posting a monstrous 31.2 minutes per game this year.

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-highest scoring offense in the league over the last 25 games.

The rate of three-point shots sunk against Kel'el Ware has been quite high (40.6%) when facing opposing starting Cs this year (100th percentile).

The Chicago Bulls have played at the speediest pace in the NBA over the last 25 games.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Among all players in the NBA, Nikola Vucevic comes in at the 76th percentile for personal fouls, tallying an enormous 2.2 fouls per game playing at home this year.

The Bulls are expected to see a decline in opportunities in this game from sharing the court with the 3rd-least up-tempo pace offense in the NBA this year (the Miami Heat).

The Chicago Bulls check in as the 6th-worst offensive rebounding offense in the NBA this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore eliminate further opportunities for scoring and assists).

The matchup vs. Kel'el Ware is a challenging one for getting to the foul line; when guarding fellow starting Cs this year, they have attempted a lowly 2.3 foul shots per game (25th percentile).

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