Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/28/2024

NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Portland Trail Blazers vs Chicago Bulls · Jan 28, 2024

Updated Jan 29, 2024 2:52 AM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 17.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ +105.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has successfully made 9.6 field goals per game over the last 5 games on the road, 1.8 higher than he's made over the course of the season away from his home court.
Out of all players in the league, Nikola Vucevic places in the 91st percentile for playing time, registering a monstrous 33.9 minutes per game this year.
The matchup with Deandre Ayton ranks in only the 100th percentile for difficulty with opposing starting Cs sinking a massive 1.1 three-point shots per game this year when they are on the visiting team.
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the league over the last 20 games away from their home court (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore produce added opportunities for scoring and assists).
Playing at home, the Portland Trail Blazers have allowed the 2nd-least offensive rebounds per game (7.8) in the NBA to opposing clubs over the last 5 games (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce further opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

Nikola Vucevic has been called for 2.6 personal fouls per game this year, making him one of the most foul-prone players in the NBA (86th percentile).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 5th-lowest scoring offense in the NBA this year.
This year when they are the visiting team, opposing clubs have averaged 50.5% on shots from the field (2nd-highest in the NBA) vs. the Trail Blazers, designating this as a strong matchup.
The least up-tempo tempo team in the league this year has been the Bulls.
The Portland Trail Blazers have played at the 8th-least up-tempo pace in the league with the home court advantage this year, which ought to reduce opportunities for the Bulls.