Nikola Vucevic Points - Player Prop Bet 1/20/2024

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NBA · Player Props

Nikola Vucevic

C · Chicago Bulls

Points

Chicago Bulls vs Memphis Grizzlies · Jan 20, 2024

Updated Jan 20, 2024 10:22 PM EST

Analysis

Nikola Vucevic Points Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-137/+104).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -132 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -137.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Nikola Vucevic has sunk 9.0 field goals per game over the last 5 games, 1.7 higher than he's made in all games this year.
Nikola Vucevic has been on the court for 33.8 minutes per game while playing at home this year, ranking in the 89th percentile -- putting him among the most-used players in the league.
The Bulls will likely see a rise in possessions in this game from facing the 5th-quickest tempo visiting team in the league over the last 5 games (the Grizzlies).
The Chicago Bulls check in as the 2nd-best offensive rebounding offense in the NBA over the last 23 games with the home court advantage (offensive rebounds maintain possession and may therefore create added opportunities for scoring and assists).
The Memphis Grizzlies have allowed the 8th-least offensive rebounds per game (10.3) in the league to the other team this year (offensive rebounds maintain possession, and a lack of them may therefore reduce extra opportunities for scoring and assists).

Favors Under

The Bulls check in as the 4th-lowest scoring offense in the league this year.
This matchup is a positive one for three-point shots; opposing clubs have compiled the 6th-highest three rate in the NBA this year (38.5%).
The showdown with Jaren Jackson Jr. lands in the 14th percentile for difficulty with the opposition's starting Cs draining only 0.4 3-pointers per game this year when they are playing at home.
The Bulls have played at the slowest tempo in the league this year.